Fractional FP&A

A forecast the board believes, and a model you can run.

Budgets, rolling forecasts, variance analysis, and board-ready reporting. We turn your numbers forward so every decision has a real model behind it, not a budget from January nobody trusts anymore.

Budget vs. Forecast, Q3
Line ($000s)BudgetForecastVar
Revenue4,2004,480+6.7%
Gross profit2,6902,910+8.2%
Operating expense2,0202,140+5.9%
EBITDA670770+14.9%

Revenue is pacing 6.7% ahead of plan on stronger enterprise bookings. OpEx is up on the new hires approved in Q2, still inside the EBITDA target, which now lands ~$100K above budget.

What's included

The full planning loop, owned.

FP&A isn't one deliverable, it's a cycle: plan, measure, explain, re-forecast. We own the whole loop so the numbers stay current and the story behind them stays clear.

Annual budget

A driver-based operating plan built bottom-up with your team, one everyone actually signs up to, not a top-down guess.

Rolling forecast

A living 12–18 month model that updates with actuals every month, so the outlook is always current, not stale by February.

Variance analysis

Budget vs. actual vs. forecast, with the why attached, the narrative that turns a variance into a decision.

Board & investor reporting

Clean, consistent packages that tell the story your board needs, KPIs, trends, and commentary, not a wall of numbers.

Scenario & sensitivity modeling

Base, upside, and downside cases on demand, so “what if hiring slips” or “what if we raise” has a number, fast.

KPI & metrics dashboards

The handful of metrics that actually run your business, tracked, trended, and tied back to the plan.

The difference

Variance with the why attached.

Most reporting tells you what happened. Useful FP&A tells you why it happened and what to do about it. We pair every number with a short, honest read, the kind a board member can act on without a follow-up call.

That means actuals dropped against plan, forecasts re-run on what we just learned, and a narrative that connects the two. Decisions stop waiting on analysis.

  • Actual vs. plan vs. forecast, every month, on a fixed cadence
  • Commentary written for decision-makers, not accountants
  • A model your team can open, follow, and trust
Plan vs. Actual, revenue
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4

Q3 came in under plan on a slipped enterprise deal, recovered in Q4 as it closed. The forecast was re-cut in October to reflect the timing, so Q4 landed ahead.

How an engagement runs

Build the model, then set the rhythm.

A forecast is only useful if it stays current. We build the model once, then run the monthly cadence that keeps it, and the story around it, alive.

1

Build the model

We construct a driver-based forecast off your actuals and your real operating levers, revenue drivers, headcount, and the costs that scale with them.

2

Set the cadence

A fixed monthly loop: actuals in, variances explained, forecast re-cut, board package out. Predictable timing your team and your board can rely on.

3

Report with narrative

Every package pairs the numbers with a plain-English read on what they mean, written for the people making decisions, not filing them.

4

Re-forecast & advise

As reality moves, the model moves with it, and we flag where the plan and the world have diverged before it becomes a surprise.

Customer story, coming soon

A budget nobody believed, made real.

We're finishing a client story, how a company traded a stale annual budget for a rolling forecast the board now runs decisions against. Check back soon, or reach out and we'll talk you through it.

12–18mo
Rolling forecast horizon
Monthly
Board-ready package
<1 day
To re-run a scenario

Let's build a forecast you can defend.

Tell us what the board keeps asking that your numbers can't yet answer. We'll show you how we'd model it, and where to start.

andy@scenarioone.com · United States, remote

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